Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
44.07% ( -0) | 26.04% ( -0.03) | 29.9% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.27% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.13% ( 0.11) | 51.87% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% ( 0.1) | 73.63% ( -0.1) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.57% ( 0.05) | 23.43% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.57% ( 0.07) | 57.43% ( -0.07) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.26% ( 0.08) | 31.74% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.84% ( 0.09) | 68.16% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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