MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 21:29:50| >> :600:3990651:3990651:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
England national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Italy national football team

England
0 - 0
Italy


Grealish (29'), Ward-Prowse (81')
FT

Locatelli (25'), Gatti (48'), Tonali (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between England and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with England.

Form, Standings, Stats

England

Last Six:
Last Game: Germany 1-1 England
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Italy

Last Six:
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Hungary
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: England 1-0 Italy

 Southgate is facing ever-increasing scrutiny after a pair of dissatisfactory showings in the Nations League, with England's attacking stars simply not clicking into gear, but the Azzurri are not the force they once were either. The young and inexperienced forward line at Mancini's disposal could struggle to break down the Three Lions' stingy defence, and we can envisage the Three Lions finally posting a first win on the board in what may not be the most entertaining affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Italy had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Italy win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
EnglandDrawItaly
47.38% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 23.37% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 29.25% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.83% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.52% (0.016999999999996 0.02)40.47% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.14% (0.015999999999998 0.02)62.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65% (0.012999999999991 0.01)17.35% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27% (0.024999999999999 0.02)47.73% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43%61.57%
Score Analysis
    England 47.38%
    Italy 29.25%
    Draw 23.36%
EnglandDrawItaly
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 47.38%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.36%
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 29.25%

How you voted: England vs Italy

England
57.6%
Draw
20.3%
Italy
22.1%
443
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2021 8pm
Italy
1-1
England
 Italy win 3-2 on penalties
Bonucci (67')
Barella (47'), Bonucci (55'), Insigne (84'), Chiellini (90+6'), Jorginho (114')
Shaw (2')
Maguire (106')
Mar 27, 2020 8pm
England
P-P
Italy
Mar 27, 2018 8pm
England
1-1
Italy
> Match Report
Mar 31, 2015 7.45pm
Italy
1-1
England
> Match Report
Jun 14, 2014 11pm
England
1-2
Italy
Sturridge (37')
Sterling (90')
Marchisio (35'), Balotelli (50')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!