Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
27.71% ( -3.13) | 24.88% ( -1.22) | 47.41% ( 4.35) |
Both teams to score 54.56% ( 2.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.77% ( 3.51) | 48.23% ( -3.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.62% ( 3.13) | 70.38% ( -3.13) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.54% ( -0.47) | 31.46% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.15% ( -0.55) | 67.85% ( 0.55) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.61% ( 3.47) | 20.39% ( -3.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.19% ( 5.24) | 52.81% ( -5.24) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
1-0 @ 7.42% ( -1.25) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.78) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.33) Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.71% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.62) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.98) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.72) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.67) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.39) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.46) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.41) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.74% Total : 47.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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