Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
Result | ||
Solihull Moors | Draw | Chesterfield |
56.72% | 23.51% | 19.76% |
Both teams to score 49.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.87% | 50.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.9% | 72.09% |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.53% | 17.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.05% | 47.94% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.31% | 39.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.63% | 76.37% |
Score Analysis |
Solihull Moors | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 12.09% 2-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 5.67% 4-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.67% Total : 56.72% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.41% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.34% Total : 19.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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