Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Chesterfield |
33.51% ( -0.06) | 24.18% ( -0.04) | 42.3% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 60.08% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.62% ( 0.17) | 42.37% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.22% ( 0.17) | 64.77% ( -0.17) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% ( 0.04) | 24.69% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.77% ( 0.06) | 59.22% ( -0.06) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.78% ( 0.11) | 20.21% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.47% ( 0.19) | 52.52% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 42.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
> National League Full Table |