Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
45.22% ( -0.04) | 25.51% ( 0.01) | 29.26% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.56% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.98% ( -0.04) | 50.02% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% ( -0.03) | 72% ( 0.03) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.91% ( -0.03) | 22.09% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.55% ( -0.05) | 55.45% ( 0.04) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.75% ( -0) | 31.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.41% ( -0) | 67.59% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.22% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |