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Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Portland Timbers

NY City
1 - 2
Portland

Rodriguez (10')
Rodriguez (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Antony (85'), Evander (90+7')
McGraw (19'), Paredes (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 2-0 NY City
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-2 DC United
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 0-1 Portland Timbers

Confidence is quite low with New York City FC at the moment, and seeing one of your most experienced players in Sands lose their cool seems to reflect how everyone at the club is probably feeling at the moment: frustrated. The Timbers, on the other hand, have shown to be a potent side in the attacking third so far in 2024, and we believe that, combined with the lack of chance creation on the NYCFC side of things, will enable Portland to maintain their 100% away record against the Pigeons. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawPortland Timbers
45.22% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 25.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 29.26% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.56% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)50.02% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (-0.032 -0.03)72% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)22.09% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)55.45% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)31.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.59% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 45.22%
    Portland Timbers 29.26%
    Draw 25.51%
New York City FCDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 45.22%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.26%

How you voted: NY City vs Portland

New York City FC
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Portland Timbers
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Jun 25, 2023 3.30am
Portland
1-1
NY City
Evander (38')
Mabiala (50'), Bravo (70'), Evander (90+3')
Parks (51')
Turnbull (90')
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
Portland
1-1
NY City
NY City win 4-2 on penalties
Mora (90+4')
van Rankin (59'), Chara (90')
Castellanos (41')
Rodriguez (80'), Johnson (88'), Medina (90+1')
Aug 2, 2020 3.30am
NY City
1-3
Portland
Medina (27' pen.)
Ring (44'), Medina (45+1'), Moralez (85'), Callens (90+5')
Blanco (43'), Valeri (65'), Joya (76')
Williamson (37'), Mabiala (79')
Jul 7, 2019 11.30pm
NY City
0-1
Portland

Chanot (81'), Ofori (88')
Blanco (14')
Dielna (40'), Blanco (44'), Farfan (44'), Asprilla (45'), Valentin (45')
Apr 22, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 9
Portland
3-0
NY City
Blanco (26'), Adi (38'), Mabiala (66')

Ring (63'), Callens (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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