Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | DC United |
51.68% | 24.51% | 23.81% |
Both teams to score 52.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.26% | 49.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.25% | 71.75% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.77% | 19.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.06% | 50.94% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.51% | 35.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.74% | 72.26% |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 5.28% 3-0 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.02% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.07% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |