Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 50.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Dallas |
50.54% ( 0.43) | 24.83% ( -0.14) | 24.64% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 52% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.7% ( 0.34) | 50.3% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.75% ( 0.31) | 72.25% ( -0.3) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.09% ( 0.31) | 19.91% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.96% ( 0.5) | 52.05% ( -0.49) |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.93% ( -0.05) | 35.07% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.19% ( -0.05) | 71.81% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Dallas |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.53% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |