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Major League Soccer
Mar 4, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Banc of California Stadium
Portland Timbers

Los Angeles
3 - 2
Portland

Chiellini (24'), Vela (34' pen.), Opoku (52')
Hollingshead (45+8'), Sanchez (45+1'), Tillman (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Evander (62'), Paredes (84')
McGraw (41'), Fogaca (90+1'), Fogaca (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 1-0 Kansas
Tuesday, February 28 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 Portland Timbers

Los Angeles' recent home form means that it is hard to envisage any other outcome rather a win for them. While we expect Portland Timbers to put up a decent fight, we just about fancy the hosts to secure the points at the end of the 90 minutes.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawPortland Timbers
65.38% (0.791 0.79) 19.21% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 15.41% (-0.727 -0.73)
Both teams to score 55.29% (-1.539 -1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.52% (-1.172 -1.17)38.48% (1.17 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22% (-1.252 -1.25)60.78% (1.25 1.25)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.97% (-0.133 -0.13)11.03% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.66% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)35.33% (0.29000000000001 0.29)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15% (-1.635 -1.64)37.85% (1.634 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.37% (-1.626 -1.63)74.63% (1.624 1.62)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 65.38%
    Portland Timbers 15.41%
    Draw 19.21%
Los Angeles FCDrawPortland Timbers
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.444 0.44)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.455 0.46)
3-0 @ 7.46% (0.291 0.29)
3-1 @ 7.24% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.11% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.99% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.108 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.81% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.76% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 65.38%
1-1 @ 8.94% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.228 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.21%
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 15.41%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Portland

Los Angeles FC
70.0%
Draw
15.0%
Portland Timbers
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 8pm
Mar 7, 2022 3am
Los Angeles
1-1
Portland
Fall (90+3')
Hollingshead (25'), Sanchez (78')
Chara (18')
Bravo (36'), Asprilla (39'), van Rankin (45+3'), Fochive (65'), Savarese (74'), Chara (90+2')
Bravo (62')
Sep 30, 2021 3.30am
Los Angeles
1-2
Portland
Musovski (55')
Palacios (29'), Arango (90+9')
Chara (45'), Asprilla (59')
Paredes (25'), Asprilla (45+2'), Valeri (76')
Sep 20, 2021 12.30am
Portland
2-1
Los Angeles
Asprilla (21'), Fochive (68')
Mabiala (24'), Blanco (26'), Bravo (42'), Valeri (83')
Arango (27' pen.)
Jul 22, 2021 3.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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