Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Portland Timbers |
51.41% ( 0.63) | 24.07% ( -0.23) | 24.52% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 54.26% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.73% ( 0.62) | 47.27% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.51% ( 0.57) | 69.49% ( -0.57) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.61% ( 0.48) | 18.39% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.47% ( 0.81) | 49.53% ( -0.81) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.48% ( -0.01) | 33.52% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.85% ( -0) | 70.15% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Portland Timbers |
1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.37% Total : 51.4% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 24.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |