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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Robertson Stadium
New England Revolution

Houston
3 - 1
New England

Quintero (37'), Picault (76' pen., 85')
Picault (51'), Ceren (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gil (63' pen.)
Farrell (31'), McNamara (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 0-0 Kansas
Sunday, September 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 New England Revolution

As inconsistent as the Revs have been throughout the regular season, they have a good track record of points in Houston recently, and we believe the extra motivation of being in the playoff hunt will carry them through against a Dynamo side who are not the best when it comes to creating scoring chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawNew England Revolution
42.06% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 25.14% (0.0010000000000012 0) 32.79% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.46% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-0.004999999999999 -0)69.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.65% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)27.35% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.19% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)62.8% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 42.06%
    New England Revolution 32.8%
    Draw 25.14%
Houston DynamoDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.06%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.8%

How you voted: Houston vs New England

Houston Dynamo
30.0%
Draw
15.0%
New England Revolution
55.0%
20
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2020 1.30am
Jun 30, 2019 12.30am
New England
2-1
Houston
Delamea Mlinar (51'), Bunbury (91')
Delamea Mlinar (45'), Farrell (54'), Agudelo (83')
Ceren (25')
Quioto (43'), Cabezas (82'), Fuenmayor (86')
Apr 1, 2018 1.30am
Houston
0-2
New England

Machado (69'), Fuenmayor (86')
Beasley (35')
Bunbury (15'), Penilla (71')
Somi (52'), Fagundez (64')
Apr 8, 2017 7pm
Mar 6, 2016 8pm
Houston
3-3
New England
Maidana (45'), Wenger (50'), Barnes (77')
Anibaba (55')
Fagundez (4'), Davies (52'), Kobayashi (93')
Bunbury (27'), Watson (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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