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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 6, 2022 at 9pm UK
Austin FC Stadium
Inter Miami

Austin
5 - 1
Inter Miami

Driussi (22', 51'), Cascante (27'), Finlay (66', 90')
Lima (29'), Urruti (38'), Fagundez (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Campana (54')
Mota (25'), Yedlin (42'), Gregore (76'), Higuain (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-2 Austin
Thursday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Austin vs. Orlando City
Monday, May 23 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Inter Miami vs. NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 22 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-0 Inter Miami

Even though they faced perhaps the weakest defensive unit in the league on opening day, the Verde-and-Black look vastly improved in the final third and have thrived on their home field. Despite showing tremendous discipline in their opener, there seems to be a lack of depth in the Miami attack, with Higuain having to do a lot of work himself. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawInter Miami
57.17%22.81%20.02%
Both teams to score 52.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.1%46.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.85%69.15%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84%16.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.39%45.61%
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44%37.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66%74.33%
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 57.17%
    Inter Miami 20.02%
    Draw 22.81%
Austin FCDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 11.06%
2-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 6%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-0 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 1.34%
5-0 @ 1.02%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 57.17%
1-1 @ 10.83%
0-0 @ 6.07%
2-2 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 5.94%
1-2 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 2.91%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.02%

How you voted: Austin vs Inter Miami

Austin FC
86.7%
Draw
3.3%
Inter Miami
10.0%
30
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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