Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Monaco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monaco.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Monaco |
36.48% ( 0.04) | 23.67% ( 0.01) | 39.85% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 62.65% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.7% ( -0.03) | 39.3% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.37% ( -0.04) | 61.63% ( 0.04) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.34% ( 0.01) | 21.66% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.21% ( 0.01) | 54.79% ( -0.01) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.97% ( -0.04) | 20.02% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.77% ( -0.06) | 52.23% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 39.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |