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Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 11, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Nantes

Lorient
3 - 2
Nantes

Ouattara (19'), Cathline (60'), Kone (74')
Laporte (76'), Kone (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ganago (13'), Simon (85')
Simon (40'), Chirivella (45'), Appiah (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 3-1 Lyon
Wednesday, September 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Olympiacos
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Lorient 2-1 Nantes

As much as Lorient were helped by some individual Lyon errors in midweek, take nothing away from Les Merlus' stunning start to the campaign, and a third-straight win at the Stade du Moustoir is on the cards. Nantes battled well on Thursday night but are working with less rest time than their in-form counterparts, and their away-day struggles are set to continue versus the rejuvenated Merlus, who are determined to avoid a 12th game without a win in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawNantes
40.38% (0.811 0.81) 27.38% (0.175 0.18) 32.23% (-0.988 -0.99)
Both teams to score 49.11% (-0.785 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63% (-0.873 -0.87)56.37% (0.872 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61% (-0.712 -0.71)77.39% (0.711 0.71)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (0.037999999999997 0.04)27.36% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)62.82% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6% (-1.118 -1.12)32.39% (1.116 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09% (-1.278 -1.28)68.91% (1.277 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 40.37%
    Nantes 32.23%
    Draw 27.38%
LorientDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.262 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 40.37%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.86% (0.293 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 9.99% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.23%

How you voted: Lorient vs Nantes

Lorient
73.2%
Draw
9.8%
Nantes
17.1%
41
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Nantes
4-2
Lorient
Girotto (39'), Kolo (53'), Bukari (69'), Geubbels (86')
Moutoussamy (45+1'), Da Silva (77'), Appiah (83')
Moffi (56'), Soumano (85')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Mar 21, 2021 2pm
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Lorient
0-2
Nantes

Abergel (18'), Lauriente (19'), Morel (82')
Bamba (80'), Blas (83')
Louza (32')
Apr 29, 2017 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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