Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Monaco |
20.62% | 24.49% | 54.88% |
Both teams to score 48.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.05% | 52.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.45% | 74.54% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.61% | 40.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.99% | 77.01% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% | 19.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.1% | 50.9% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 7.03% 2-1 @ 5.26% 2-0 @ 3.19% 3-1 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.31% 3-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.27% Total : 20.62% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 12.79% 0-2 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-3 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 5.27% 0-4 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.94% Total : 54.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |