Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 66.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.64%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Dijon |
66.26% | 21.09% | 12.65% |
Both teams to score 42.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.6% | 52.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.91% | 74.09% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.98% | 15.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.5% | 43.51% |
Dijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.46% | 50.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.97% | 85.03% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Dijon |
1-0 @ 14.39% 2-0 @ 13.64% 2-1 @ 9.31% 3-0 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 5.88% 4-0 @ 4.09% 4-1 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.01% 5-0 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.98% Total : 66.25% | 1-1 @ 9.82% 0-0 @ 7.59% 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.09% | 0-1 @ 5.18% 1-2 @ 3.35% 0-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.35% Total : 12.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |