Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.41%. A win for Reims had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Reims |
36.41% | 28.65% | 34.94% |
Both teams to score 45.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.39% | 60.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.29% | 80.7% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.2% | 31.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.77% | 68.23% |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.25% | 32.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.69% | 69.3% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.41% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.63% | 0-1 @ 11.62% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |