Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Angers had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Marseille |
24.89% ( -0.03) | 25.39% ( 0) | 49.71% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.55% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.66% ( -0.03) | 52.33% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.97% ( -0.03) | 74.02% ( 0.03) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.05% ( -0.05) | 35.95% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.27% ( -0.05) | 72.73% ( 0.05) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.93% ( 0) | 21.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.12% ( 0) | 53.88% |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 7.75% 2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.89% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.88% 0-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 49.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |