Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Reims in this match.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Reims |
33.4% ( -7.38) | 28.58% ( 0.02) | 38.02% ( 7.36) |
Both teams to score 45.89% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.5% ( 0.47) | 60.5% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.38% ( 0.35) | 80.61% ( -0.35) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.26% ( -4.39) | 33.73% ( 4.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.61% ( -5.07) | 70.39% ( 5.07) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.26% ( 5.23) | 30.74% ( -5.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33% ( 5.74) | 67% ( -5.74) |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -1.67) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.89) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( -1.81) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.7) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -1.02) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.39% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 12.23% ( 1.44) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 1.07) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 1.7) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.78) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.96) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.32) Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |