Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Oct 2, 2023 at 12.20am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca1 - 1Guadalajara
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and CD Guadalajara.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 America
Sunday, September 24 at 7pm in Liga MX
Sunday, September 24 at 7pm in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-3 Mazatlan
Wednesday, September 27 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Wednesday, September 27 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
41.53% ( 0.44) | 24.26% ( -0.16) | 34.2% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 59.98% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
