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Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Swindon Town

Wrexham
5 - 5
Swindon

Bickerstaff (29'), Lee (51' pen., 90+6'), Jones (55', 90+2')
Boyle (76')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Young (17', 34'), Austin (27'), Kemp (31', 71')
Brewitt (20'), Kemp (56'), Blake-Tracy (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 4-2 Walsall
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 3-2 Swindon Town

An entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action is expected between these two sides on Saturday and both teams will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points. However, we believe that Wrexham will follow up their midweek home triumph with another success in front of their own fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawSwindon Town
44.43% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 23.84% (0.0040000000000013 0) 31.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.61% (-0.012 -0.01)41.38% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-0.012 -0.01)63.78% (0.012 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)18.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)50.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96%60.04%
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 44.43%
    Swindon Town 31.73%
    Draw 23.83%
WrexhamDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 44.43%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.73%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Swindon

Wrexham
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Swindon Town
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2007 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Wrexham
Zaaboub (9'), Roberts (71' pen.)
Weston (55')
Williams (8')
Mitchell (37'), Roche (56'), Spender (63')
Sep 9, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
2-1
Swindon
Valentine (68' pen.), Jones (69')
Williams (27'), Roche (34')
Evans (28')
Brown (58'), Brezovan (69'), Peacock (79')
Mar 19, 2005 3pm
Swindon
4-2
Wrexham
Smith (80'), Parkin (40', 76', 90' pen.)
Sam (32'), Ugarte (16')
Llewellyn (84')
Aug 7, 2004 3pm
Wrexham
2-1
Swindon
Lawrence (24'), Armstrong (73' pen.)
Holt (66'), Ferguson (89')

Gurney (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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