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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
MK Dons

Wrexham
3 - 5
MK Dons

Mendy (42'), Davies (82'), Forde (90+6')
Lee (23'), O'Connell (24')
FT(HT: 1-2)
O'Connell (6' og.), Eisa (10'), Leko (51', 64'), Harvie (90+4')
Eisa (11'), Norman (68'), MacGillivray (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Wrexham
Wednesday, July 26 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 1-5 Coventry
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Wrexham 2-1 MK Dons

 Wrexham are riding the crest of a wave at the moment, and they should be backed by a huge crowd at the Racecourse Ground in their first EFL game since 2009, while MK Dons have not performed well in pre-season. As such, we expect the hosts to kick off their first game of the season with a victory, building momentum ahead of what should be another season where they are battling for promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawMK Dons
69.03% (3.214 3.21) 17.33% (-1.804 -1.8) 13.65% (-1.409 -1.41)
Both teams to score 57.6% (2.937 2.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.69% (5.563 5.56)33.31% (-5.563 -5.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.92% (6.11 6.11)55.08% (-6.11 -6.11)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.26% (2.284 2.28)8.74% (-2.283 -2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.95% (5.29 5.29)30.04% (-5.29 -5.29)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.12% (1.681 1.68)36.88% (-1.68 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (1.642 1.64)73.67% (-1.641 -1.64)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 69.03%
    MK Dons 13.65%
    Draw 17.33%
WrexhamDrawMK Dons
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.756 -0.76)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.299 -0.3)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-1.517 -1.52)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.76% (0.519 0.52)
4-0 @ 4.74% (0.551 0.55)
4-1 @ 4.73% (0.736 0.74)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.42 0.42)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.457 0.46)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.463 0.46)
5-1 @ 2.3% (0.544 0.54)
5-2 @ 1.15% (0.311 0.31)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.259 0.26)
6-1 @ 0.94% (0.289 0.29)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 69.03%
1-1 @ 7.84% (-1.096 -1.1)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-1.027 -1.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.33%
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.348 -0.35)
0-1 @ 3.22% (-0.836 -0.84)
0-2 @ 1.6% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 13.65%

How you voted: Wrexham vs MK Dons

Wrexham
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
MK Dons
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Wrexham
O'Hanlon (75'), Swailes (2'), Wilbraham (10', 90')
Lewington (36'), Navarro (46'), Gueret (59'), Regan (60'), Miles (83')
Roberts (59' pen.)
Roberts (26'), Bolland (33')
Jan 19, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
MK Dons
Roberts (71')
Evans (49'), Nicholson (56'), Spender (79')

Wilbraham (64'), Johnson (83')
Mar 17, 2007 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Wrexham
Andrews (38' pen.), Platt (85')
Dyer (52')
McEvilly (12')
Roche (18'), Garrett (37'), McEvilly (43')
Roche (36')
Oct 14, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
1-2
MK Dons
Roberts (20')
Done (64'), Evans (69'), Jones (88'), Mackin (90')
O'Hanlon (77')
O'Hanlon (22')
Feb 26, 2005 3pm
Wrexham
0-0
MK Dons
Morgan (87')
Lewington (81'), Harding (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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