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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Boreham Wood
Bromley
Chesterfield
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Wealdstone
Woking
Torquay United
National League | Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Plainmoor Ground
Wrexham AFC

Torquay Utd
1 - 1
Wrexham

Nouble (53')
Dawson (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lee (80')
O'Connell (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Torquay United and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Altrincham 2-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, April 22 at 6.30pm in National League

We said: Torquay United 2-4 Wrexham

Securing three points is the solitary aim for Torquay, who are somewhat fortunate that Wrexham have already wrapped up the league title before Saturday's clash, and they will hope that the champions are still feeling the effects of their celebrations as they bid to keep their slim hopes of survival alive. However, Parkinson and co are keen to go out on a high and finish the campaign in a professional manner, and while the hosts are sure to throw everything at this final-day fixture, we believe that the Red Dragons will come out on top in a thrilling contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 0-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Torquay United win it was 2-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawWrexham
19.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.35% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 58.67% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.17% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.52% (0.012 0.01)40.47% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.14% (0.012 0.01)62.85% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.1% (0.01100000000001 0.01)33.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)70.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)13.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.45% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)40.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 19.97%
    Wrexham 58.67%
    Draw 21.35%
Torquay UnitedDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 5.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 2.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 19.97%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.35%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.62%
0-3 @ 6.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.33%
0-5 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 58.67%

How you voted: Torquay Utd vs Wrexham

Torquay United
20.0%
Draw
10.0%
Wrexham
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Wrexham
6-0
Torquay Utd
Davies (11'), Mullin (29'), Palmer (42'), Hayden (72'), Dalby (80'), Forde (90')

Jarvis (77')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
gameweek 28
Torquay Utd
1-0
Wrexham
Hall (8')
Moxey (38'), Wearne (69'), Lapslie (83'), (87')

Ponticelli (22'), (87')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 14
Wrexham
1-1
Torquay Utd
Lennon (4')
Lennon (47'), Lainton (58')
Lemonheigh-Evans (84')
Perritt (54'), Moxey (90+6')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
gameweek 45
Wrexham
0-1
Torquay Utd

Angus (76'), Harris (84')
Sherring (90+3')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
gameweek 17
Torquay Utd
3-1
Wrexham
Whitfield (5'), Hall (17' pen.), Lemonheigh-Evans (74')
MacDonald (75')
Vassell (19')
Horsfield (10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CChesterfield4631510106654198
2Barnet462681291603186
3Bromley462215973492481
4AltrinchamAltrincham4622111384592577
5Solihull MoorsSolihull462113127162976
6Gateshead462291588642475
7Halifax TownHalifax461914135850871
8Aldershot TownAldershot46209177483-969
9Southend UnitedSouthend4621121370452565
10Oldham AthleticOldham461518136360363
11Rochdale461614166964562
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool46179207082-1260
13Eastleigh461611197387-1459
14Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead461513186067-758
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red461414186963656
16WealdstoneWealdstone461511206072-1256
17Woking461510214955-655
18Fylde461510217482-855
19Ebbsfleet461412205974-1554
20York City461217175569-1453
21Boreham WoodBoreham Wood461216185973-1452
22Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster461113224059-1946
23Dorking WanderersDorking46129255485-3145
24Oxford CityOxford City4689295494-4033


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