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Port Vale
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park

Port Vale
1 - 1
Newcastle U21s

Debrah (17')
Shorrock (44')
FT
(aet)
Stanton (90')
Wiggett (14'), Scott (20'), Miley (72'), Thompson (90+3'), Stanton (90+5')
Port Vale win 3-2 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Port Vale and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Port Vale
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Newcastle U21s 1-1 Forest U21s
Friday, September 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.76%).

Result
Port ValeDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
62.15% (0.161 0.16) 20.58% (-0.012 -0.01) 17.26% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 54.68% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)41.32% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.28% (-0.216 -0.22)63.72% (0.215 0.22)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.24% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)12.75% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.98% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)39.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.3 -0.3)37.33% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.297 -0.3)74.11% (0.297 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 62.15%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 17.26%
    Draw 20.58%
Port ValeDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 6.93% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 62.15%
1-1 @ 9.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.58%
1-2 @ 4.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 17.26%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Newcastle U21s

Port Vale
75.0%
Draw
8.3%
Newcastle United Under-21s
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
2-1
Newcastle U21s
Cullen (40', 85')
Kennedy (71')
Anderson (50')
rhs 2.0
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