Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 77.37%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 9.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.94%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Sheffield United |
77.37% ( 0.16) | 13.49% ( -0.07) | 9.14% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 56.87% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.12% ( 0.03) | 26.88% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.67% ( 0.04) | 47.33% ( -0.04) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.38% ( 0.03) | 5.63% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.19% ( 0.1) | 21.81% ( -0.1) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.26% ( -0.16) | 39.74% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.59% ( -0.15) | 76.41% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Sheffield United |
2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 8.2% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 5.25% Total : 77.37% | 1-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.24% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 13.49% | 1-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 9.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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