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EFL Cup
Manchester United logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Nov 1, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Old Trafford
Newcastle logo

Man Utd
0 - 3
Newcastle


Mejbri (14'), Casemiro (19'), Reguilon (77'), Amrabat (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Almiron (29'), Hall (36'), Willock (61')
Willock (46'), Joelinton (82')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United secure their spot in the quarter-finals of the EFL Cup courtesy of a 3-0 victory over holders Manchester United at Old Trafford.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester United and Newcastle United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester United and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup fourth-round clash with Newcastle United.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup last-16 clash with Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Man City
Sunday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Premier League

Newcastle United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Wolves 2-2 Newcastle
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawNewcastle United
40.16% (-0.742 -0.74) 24.78% (0.172 0.17) 35.06% (0.573 0.57)
Both teams to score 58.33% (-0.489 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.686 -0.69)44.83% (0.689 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.81% (-0.663 -0.66)67.19% (0.666 0.67)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (-0.654 -0.65)22.27% (0.659 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29% (-0.993 -0.99)55.71% (0.997 1)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.96% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.4% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)59.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 40.16%
    Newcastle United 35.06%
    Draw 24.77%
Manchester UnitedDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.27% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.16%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.164 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.228 0.23)
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.72% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.073 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.06%

How you voted: Man Utd vs Newcastle

Manchester United
38.7%
Draw
16.5%
Newcastle United
44.9%
243
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Build-up
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Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup last-16 clash with Newcastle United.
Oct 30, 07:26
 Manchester United's Casemiro walks off the pitch after being sent off on October 3, 2023
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Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup fourth-round clash with Newcastle United.
Oct 30, 10:47
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Manchester United's Amad Diallo returns to individual training
Manchester United winger Amad Diallo returns to training following the serious knee injury he sustained against Arsenal in pre-season.
Oct 30, 17:36
 Newcastle United's Alexander Isak walks to be substituted after sustaining an injury on October 25, 2023
Newcastle United's Alexander Isak, Sven Botman ruled out of Manchester United clash
Newcastle United will be without six players including Alexander Isak and Sven Botman for Wednesday's EFL Cup fourth-round tie against Manchester United at Old Trafford.
Oct 31, 14:53
 Newcastle United's Lewis Hall during the warm up before the match on September 16, 2023
Newcastle United boss Eddie Howe: 'The best of Lewis Hall is yet to come'
Newcastle United's Eddie Howe labels summer signing Lewis Hall a "talented player" and has no doubt that "the best of him is yet to come" as he continues to settle into life at St James' Park.
Oct 31, 17:44
 Manchester United manager Erik ten Hag pictured on August 19, 2023
Erik ten Hag "certain" Manchester United will overcome tough start
Manchester United head coach Erik ten Hag says that it is "only a matter of time" before his side finds their best form.
Nov 1, 14:34
 Newcastle United's Dan Burn in action with Manchester United's Marcus Rashford on April 2, 2023
Marcus Rashford's record vs. Newcastle United
Sports Mole looks at Marcus Rashford's record against Newcastle United ahead of Manchester United's EFL Cup contest with the Magpies.
Nov 1, 14:45
 Manchester United's Casemiro celebrates scoring their second goal on September 26, 2023
Casemiro captains Manchester United in absence of Bruno Fernandes
Casemiro will captain Manchester United in Wednesday's EFL Cup contest with Newcastle United at Old Trafford.
Nov 1, 19:59
rhs 2.0
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1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
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9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
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14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
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RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616
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