MX23RW : Monday, May 13 12:12:16| >> :600:3078906:3078906:
Harrogate Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium

Harrogate
2 - 1
Forest U21s

Thomson (56' pen.), O'Connor (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Esapa Osong (84')
Hanks (55'), Perry (71'), Collins (85'), Esapa Osong (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Harrogate Town and Nottingham Forest Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Barrow
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Brighton U21s 1-0 Forest U21s
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Harrogate Town 1-2 Nottingham Forest Under-21s

Forest Under-21s will fancy their chances of picking up a positive result here due to Harrogate's recent struggles. We are expecting it to be a competitive contest on Tuesday evening and are finding it difficult to separate them, but the visitors could just shade this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 57.97%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 21.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 1-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Harrogate Town in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
57.97% (-0.183 -0.18) 20.78% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 21.25% (0.149 0.15)
Both teams to score 61.34% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.05% (0.039999999999992 0.04)35.95% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.96% (0.042999999999999 0.04)58.04% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.74% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)12.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)38% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.92% (0.158 0.16)30.08% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.78% (0.187 0.19)66.22% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 57.97%
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 21.25%
    Draw 20.78%
Harrogate TownDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.1% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 57.97%
1-1 @ 9.3% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.69% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.78%
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Forest U21s

Harrogate Town
34.6%
Draw
15.4%
Nottingham Forest Under-21s
50.0%
26
rhs 2.0
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