Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
34.27% ( 0.38) | 23.35% ( -0.36) | 42.38% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 63.39% ( 1.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.85% ( 1.85) | 38.14% ( -1.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.58% ( 1.95) | 60.41% ( -1.94) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.71% ( 1.07) | 22.28% ( -1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.26% ( 1.58) | 55.73% ( -1.58) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.57% ( 0.76) | 18.43% ( -0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.4% ( 1.26) | 49.59% ( -1.26) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.39% Total : 34.27% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.45) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 42.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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