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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
54.7% ( 0.13) | 22.6% ( 0.49) | 22.71% ( -0.63) |
Both teams to score 56.98% ( -2.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.37% ( -2.99) | 42.63% ( 2.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.97% ( -3.04) | 65.03% ( 3.03) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.49% ( -1) | 15.51% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.59% ( -1.88) | 44.41% ( 1.87) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.44% ( -2.2) | 32.55% ( 2.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.91% ( -2.54) | 69.09% ( 2.53) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.9) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.21) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 54.7% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.64) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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