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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Colchester United

Swindon
2 - 2
Colchester

Austin (18' pen.), Brewitt (43')
Shade (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Jay (45+2'), Ihionvien (90+4')
Chilvers (14'), Cowley (15'), Marshall-Miranda (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 3-1 Swindon
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 0-2 Colchester United

 Colchester United will hope that Cowley's appointment has an immediate positive impact on the squad, and against a Swindon Town side who have just lost their two main attacking outlets at the start of the month, we fancy the visitors to prevail in their first game under new management this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
54.76% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11) 21.58% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 23.65% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 61.82% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.18% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)36.82% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.01% (-0.172 -0.17)58.99% (0.174 0.17)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)13.49% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48% (-0.172 -0.17)40.52% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)28.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.68% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)64.33% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 54.76%
    Colchester United 23.65%
    Draw 21.58%
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 54.76%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.83% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 23.65%

How you voted: Swindon vs Colchester

Swindon Town
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Colchester United
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')
Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')
> Preview
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Colchester
1-0
Swindon
Hannant (30')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Swindon
1-0
Colchester
Shade (64')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
> Preview
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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