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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Harrogate Town |
47.43% ( -0.36) | 26.37% ( 0.22) | 26.19% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 48.81% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.82% ( -0.74) | 55.18% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.58% ( -0.61) | 76.42% ( 0.61) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.73% ( -0.49) | 23.27% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.8% ( -0.71) | 57.2% ( 0.71) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.61% ( -0.29) | 36.39% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.83% ( -0.29) | 73.17% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 47.43% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 26.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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