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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Notts County
3 - 0
Doncaster

Crowley (33'), Langstaff (44'), Nemane (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Close (75'), Bailey (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Notts County 2-1 Doncaster Rovers

Notts County and Doncaster Rovers have had a contrasting first half of the season, with Rovers scrambling for points at the bottom end of the table. While Williams's men have suffered a drop-off in form in recent weeks, they boast the firepower needed to turn things around against Tuesday's visitors and we are tipping them to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawDoncaster Rovers
52.16% (0.554 0.55) 21.02% (-0.149 -0.15) 26.81% (-0.405 -0.41)
Both teams to score 67.51% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.13% (0.396 0.4)30.87% (-0.396 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.77% (0.47 0.47)52.23% (-0.47 -0.47)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.74% (0.297 0.3)12.25% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.02% (0.624 0.62)37.98% (-0.624 -0.62)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)23.05% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (-0.073 -0.07)56.88% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 52.16%
    Doncaster Rovers 26.81%
    Draw 21.02%
Notts CountyDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.93% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.69% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.055 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.46% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.048 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.2% (0.024 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 52.16%
1-1 @ 8.7% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.83% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.29% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 21.02%
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.81%

How you voted: Notts County vs Doncaster

Notts County
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Doncaster Rovers
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Doncaster
1-3
Notts County
Sotona (90+5')
Langstaff (28', 46'), Jones (54')
McGoldrick (16'), Jones (18'), Bostock (21')
Nov 14, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Notts County
4-2
Doncaster
Dennis (15', 40', 63' pen.), Boldewijn (26')
Milsom (81')
May (50', 70')
Wilks (86')
Mar 14, 2017 7.45pm
Doncaster
3-1
Notts County
Coppinger (44'), Baudry (47'), Williams (95')
May (78')
Duffy (20')
Bola (71')
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Notts County
2-1
Doncaster
Thompson (8'), Noble (60')
Hollis (46'), Burke (64'), Bajner (70')
Tyson (95' pen.)
Butler (67'), Jones (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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