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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 27
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Accrington Stanley

Newport
1 - 3
Accrington

Morris (13')
Bondswell (45'), Bondswell (90+8'), Jameson (90+8')
Lewis (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Henderson (22'), Leigh (46'), Pritchard (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Newport
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 Accrington Stanley

 The form of both Newport and Accrington is that of two sides with only pride at stake between now and the end of the season, so the shackles could either come off or the two sides will choose to expend little energy in Tuesday's bottom-half showdown. The latter scenario is not beyond the realm of possibility due to the limited recovery time, and we cannot pick a clear winner between the two outfits on this occasion, so an uneventful stalemate could be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
46.77% (0.07 0.07) 23.73% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 29.49% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 59.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03)42.03% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)64.43% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.040000000000006 0.04)18.18% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.81% (0.068000000000005 0.07)49.18% (-0.067 -0.07)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)27.02% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)62.38% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 46.77%
    Accrington Stanley 29.49%
    Draw 23.73%
Newport CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 46.77%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.49%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Accrington
3-0
Newport
Nolan (24'), Whalley (80'), Adedoyin (90+4')
Shipley (37'), Leigh (39')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Newport
2-1
Accrington
Amond (30'), Nouble (85')
White (66'), Demetriou (88')
Kee (90')
Brown (61')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Accrington
1-1
Newport
Wilks (88')
Nouble (48')
Tozer (90')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Newport
1-0
Accrington
Randall (60')
Rigg (29'), O'Brien (38'), Owen-Evans (96')

Brown (83'), McCartan (91')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Accrington
1-3
Newport
Donacien (79')
Gornell (44'), McCartan (85')
Healey (47'), Barnum-Bobb (62'), Sheehan (94')
Rigg (56'), Myrie-Williams (65'), Sheehan (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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