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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Sutton United

Gillingham
1 - 0
Sutton

Malone (72')
Coleman (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Goodliffe (9'), Goodliffe (10'), Hart (83'), Clay (84')
Smith (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton United

This match is shaping up to be a tighter affair than initially expected, with Gillingham's form nosediving while Sutton seemed to have found their fighting spirit again. However, this is the perfect opportunity for the home side to find their scoring boots again, as they have been creating enough chances to put teams to bed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSutton United
48.07% (-0.204 -0.2) 26.43% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 25.5% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 48.09% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.17% (-0.191 -0.19)55.83% (0.19 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.05% (-0.155 -0.16)76.95% (0.155 0.16)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.173 -0.17)23.25% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (-0.253 -0.25)57.17% (0.254 0.25)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (0.009999999999998 0.01)37.34% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 48.07%
    Sutton United 25.5%
    Draw 26.42%
GillinghamDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 48.07%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.5%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Sutton
0-1
Gillingham

Angol (5'), Milsom (25')
Nadesan (10')
Coleman (76')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Sutton
2-1
Gillingham
Baggott (43' og.), Eastmond (90+3')
McKenzie (78')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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