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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Crawley Town

Forest Green
2 - 1
Crawley

Morton (26', 45+2')
Dabo (4'), Maddox (67'), Welch (69'), Moore-Taylor (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Darcy (6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Crawley
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCrawley Town
37.83% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 24.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 37.35% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)44.79% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.85% (0.036999999999999 0.04)67.15% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)23.43% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)57.43% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.064999999999998 0.06)23.68% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09)57.79% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 37.83%
    Crawley Town 37.35%
    Draw 24.81%
Forest Green RoversDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 37.83%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.76% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.76% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 37.35%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Crawley
2-1
Forest Green
Nadesan (24'), Tunnicliffe (32')
Craig (30'), Francomb (72'), Powell (77'), Morris (85')
Bernard (80')
Sweeney (90'), Adams (90+4')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Forest Green
6-3
Crawley
Cadden (1', 67', 69'), Stevens (24'), Matt (48'), Young (78')
Adams (59')
Hessenthaler (14', 30'), Appiah (86')
Craig (27'), Appiah (90')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Crawley
0-0
Forest Green
McNerney (49'), Wright (65')
Stokes (56')
Dec 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 21
Forest Green
1-2
Crawley
Young (50')
Nichols (16', 79')
Craig (61'), Davies (90+3')
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Crawley
1-1
Forest Green
Lubala (45')
Tunnicliffe (63' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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