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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Swindon Town

Accrington
3 - 4
Swindon

Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
37.18% (-0.128 -0.13) 23.71% (0.09 0.09) 39.11% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.56% (-0.348 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.55% (-0.453 -0.45)39.44% (0.45800000000001 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.21% (-0.474 -0.47)61.79% (0.479 0.48)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)21.37% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (-0.412 -0.41)54.34% (0.418 0.42)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.172 -0.17)20.43% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (-0.281 -0.28)52.88% (0.287 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 37.18%
    Swindon Town 39.11%
    Draw 23.71%
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.74% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.18%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 39.11%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')
Pitman (30')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
0-3
Accrington

Grounds (73')
Fryer (6' og.), Bishop (25'), Charles (38')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Accrington
Richards (14'), Anderson (43'), Mullin (55')
Dunne (85')

Dunne (76')
Dunne (85')
Feb 6, 2018 7.45pm
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Kee (25' pen.), Jackson (62')
Clark (48'), McConville (75'), Kee (90')
Richards (71' pen.)
Dunne (46'), Purkiss (49'), Lancashire (66'), Banks (78')
Gordon (74')
Feb 25, 2012 3pm
Swindon
2-0
Accrington
Benson (8', 29')
Devera (62')

Lindfield (34'), Devitt (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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