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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Sheff Weds
1 - 0
Plymouth

Paterson (7')
Byers (45+2'), Paterson (54'), Vaulks (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Edwards (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Plymouth 4-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

 Both sides boast plenty of quality and find themselves in impressive runs of form, and they will also be keen to avoid a defeat which could be particularly harmful to their automatic promotion bid, leading us to see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawPlymouth Argyle
64.37% (-1.815 -1.82) 20.58% (0.904 0.9) 15.04% (0.91 0.91)
Both teams to score 49.64% (-0.668 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (-2.089 -2.09)45.5% (2.088 2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (-2.023 -2.02)67.83% (2.023 2.02)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (-1.158 -1.16)13.4% (1.156 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.66% (-2.378 -2.38)40.34% (2.378 2.38)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.32% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)42.68% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 64.36%
    Plymouth Argyle 15.04%
    Draw 20.58%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 11.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.74% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.28 -0.28)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.347 -0.35)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.56% (-0.216 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 64.36%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.443 0.44)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.495 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 20.58%
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 4.17% (0.188 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.179 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 15.04%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Plymouth

Sheffield Wednesday
54.2%
Draw
25.0%
Plymouth Argyle
20.8%
24
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-1
Sheff Weds
Hardie (3'), Cosgrove (90+1')
Edwards (41')
Palmer (7')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Sheff Weds
4-2
Plymouth
Sow (19'), Mendez-Laing (40'), Hutchinson (79'), Windass (84')
Luongo (56'), Hunt (88')
Randell (47'), Johnson (83' og.)
Broom (90+6')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Plymouth
3-0
Sheff Weds
Garrick (20', 67'), Hardie (36')

Brown (56'), Wildsmith (68')
Nov 7, 2021 12.15pm
First Round
Sheff Weds
0-0
Plymouth

Adeniran (47'), Wing (71')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Sheff Weds
Edwards (7'), Scarr (40'), Law (90+7')
Houghton (80')

Hutchinson (25'), Byers (40'), Sow (55'), Gregory (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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