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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
28.83% ( -0.65) | 25.17% ( -0.17) | 46% ( 0.82) |
Both teams to score 54.38% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.18% ( 0.37) | 48.82% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.08% ( 0.33) | 70.92% ( -0.33) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% ( -0.28) | 30.94% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.76% ( -0.33) | 67.24% ( 0.33) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.75% ( 0.52) | 21.25% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.84% ( 0.8) | 54.15% ( -0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.96% Total : 28.83% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
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