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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Stevenage

Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Stevenage

Martin (83')
Finley (37'), Evans (46'), Collins (57'), Crama (84'), Taylor (88'), Gibbons (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reid (40')
Thompson (33'), Evans (34'), Freeman (45+2'), Wildin (61'), Burns (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage

Neither team heads into this contest in strong form, but it should be an interesting contrast in styles nonetheless. Evans and Barton are likely to provide plenty of entertainment on the sidelines, and they will be expecting their players to display similar levels of intensity. We can envisage a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawStevenage
43.85% (-0.154 -0.15) 25.54% (-0.084 -0.08) 30.61% (0.233 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.376 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (0.438 0.44)49.52% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (0.392 0.39)71.55% (-0.395 -0.39)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48% (0.113 0.11)22.52% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.9% (0.171 0.17)56.09% (-0.175 -0.18)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.383 0.38)30.04% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (0.461 0.46)66.16% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 43.84%
    Stevenage 30.61%
    Draw 25.53%
Bristol RoversDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 43.84%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.29% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 30.61%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Stevenage

Bristol Rovers
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Stevenage
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Bostwick (25')
Finley (36'), Anderson (50'), Anderson (54'), Collins (74')
Coutts (21'), Finley (67'), Anderson (90')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Stevenage

Harries (50')
Lines (88'), Norris (90+6')
Vancooten (52')
Jan 8, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Stevenage

Upson (74'), Craig (90')
Upson (87')
Mackail-Smith (17')
Nugent (24'), Kennedy (30'), Denton (45'), Parrett (58'), Vancooten (68')
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
Nov 24, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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