League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 4
Mar 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Dundalk2 - 1Shelbourne
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Shelbourne.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dundalk 5-0 St Patrick's
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-0 Bohemians
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundalk | Draw | Shelbourne |
59.03% ( 0.67) | 23.55% ( -0.34) | 17.41% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 45.7% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.53% ( 0.78) | 53.46% ( -0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.01% ( 0.66) | 74.99% ( -0.66) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.15% ( 0.53) | 17.85% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.39% ( 0.92) | 48.6% ( -0.92) |
Shelbourne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.63% ( 0.05) | 44.37% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.57% ( 0.04) | 80.42% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Dundalk 59.02%
Shelbourne 17.41%
Draw 23.55%
Dundalk | Draw | Shelbourne |
1-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.36% Total : 59.02% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 17.41% |
How you voted: Dundalk vs Shelbourne
Dundalk
66.7%Draw
16.7%Shelbourne
16.7%6
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Jun 24, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 11, 2020 8pm
Dundalk
3-2
Shelbourne
Byrne (21'), Poynton (24' pen.)
Byrne (88')
Byrne (88')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-09 12:36:24
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shelbourne | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 24 |
3 | Derry CityDerry | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Galway United | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Bohemians | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
6 | Waterford UnitedWaterford | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 17 |
9 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 |
10 | DundalkDundalk | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
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