League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 16
May 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
Derry4 - 1UCD
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and University College Dublin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derry 3-0 Dundalk
Monday, May 15 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Monday, May 15 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: UCD 0-3 Shamrock
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 83.18%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 4.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.59%) and 1-0 (11.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | University College Dublin |
83.18% ( 0.73) | 12.16% ( -0.31) | 4.65% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 34.96% ( -1.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
