Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Madrid |
32.68% | 24.43% | 42.88% |
Both teams to score 58.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.18% | 43.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.79% | 66.21% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% | 25.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.14% | 60.85% |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.44% | 20.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.92% | 53.08% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Madrid |
2-1 @ 7.69% 1-0 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.68% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 9% 0-1 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 6.66% 1-3 @ 4.75% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 3.21% 1-4 @ 1.88% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.82% Total : 42.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 81 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |