La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Mallorca
There has only been one draw in the last five La Liga meetings between these two sides, but we are predicting the points to be shared on Saturday. Mallorca's first win of the season will come sooner or later, but Celta are certainly good enough to avoid defeat in front of their own supporters.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 44.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Mallorca |
44.58% ( -0.01) | 27.75% ( -0) | 27.67% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.02% ( 0.01) |
