Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 10.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.14%) and 3-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
68.05% | 21.14% | 10.82% |
Both teams to score 36.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.55% | 56.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.54% | 77.46% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.2% | 15.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.05% | 44.95% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.7% | 56.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.36% | 88.64% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 16.41% 2-0 @ 15.14% 3-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 5.35% 4-0 @ 4.3% 4-1 @ 2.47% 5-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.32% Total : 68.04% | 1-1 @ 9.43% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 2.5% Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.14% | 0-1 @ 5.11% 1-2 @ 2.71% 0-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.53% Total : 10.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |