International Friendly
Nov 11, 2022 at 11am UK
Hwaseong Stadium
We said: South Korea 1-0 Iceland
South Korea still do not have their full squad in place, but they will fancy their chances of overcoming an understrength Iceland on Friday. We are not expecting there to be much between the two sides, though, with perhaps just the one goal separating them at the end of the contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Korea in this match.
| Result |
| South Korea | Draw | Iceland |
59.82% ( -0.15) | 23.69% ( -0.03) | 16.49% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.61% ( 0.4) |
| 44.69% ( 0.35) | 55.31% ( -0.35) |
| 23.47% ( 0.28) | 76.52% ( -0.28) |
| 81.75% ( 0.07) | 18.24% ( -0.07) |
