Even if Ireland heavily rotate, they should still be strong favourites to get a win here. Kenny's team are improving every game and it would be a surprise not to see them victorious against a poor Lithuania side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Republic of Ireland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Republic of Ireland.
