MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 21:57:29| >> :60:320:320:
Japan national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 24, 2023 at 10.30am UK
National Olympic Stadium
Uruguay national football team

Japan
1 - 1
Uruguay

Nishimura (75')
Asano (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Valverde (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Japan and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
Last Game: Japan 1-1 Croatia (1-3 pen.)
Monday, December 5 at 3pm in World Cup

Uruguay

All competitions
Last Game: Ghana 0-2 Uruguay
Friday, December 2 at 3pm in World Cup

We said: Japan 1-1 Uruguay

 This has all of the makings of an entertaining contest, with both teams looking to the future. There is not an awful lot between the two sides in terms of quality, though, so we are expecting a tight match, which ultimately could end with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
JapanDrawUruguay
39.45% (-0.132 -0.13) 29.2% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 31.36% (0.192 0.19)
Both teams to score 43.76% (0.22000000000001 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.09% (0.243 0.24)62.91% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.6% (0.175 0.18)82.4% (-0.179 -0.18)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (0.043000000000006 0.04)31.09% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (0.053000000000004 0.05)67.41% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.5% (0.278 0.28)36.49% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.72% (0.278 0.28)73.28% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Japan 39.44%
    Uruguay 31.35%
    Draw 29.19%
JapanDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 13.25% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 39.44%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 11.34% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.93% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.19%
0-1 @ 11.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 31.35%

How you voted: Japan vs Uruguay

Japan
50.0%
Draw
27.5%
Uruguay
22.5%
120
Head to Head
Jun 21, 2019 12am
Group C
Uruguay
2-2
Japan
Suarez (32' pen.), Gimenez (66')
Miyoshi (25', 59')
Ueda (31'), Nakajima (78')
Oct 16, 2018 11.35am
International Friendlies
Japan
4-3
Uruguay
Minamino (10', 66'), Osako (36'), Doan (59')
Pereiro (28'), Cavani (57'), Rodriguez (75')
Saracchi (53')
rhs 2.0
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