There is an argument that can be made for Panama performing better than the US so far at this tournament, but the Americans have shown they do not need to be at their best necessarily to emerge victorious.
While Los Canaleros have a formidable starting 11, the US have too many difference makers who can change the complexion of this game, and that is why we are leaning towards them to advance into the final once again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 63.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Panama had a probability of 14.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.54%).
