MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 05:19:27| >> :600:325045:325045:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Hungary national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Puskas Arena (Budapest)
Montenegro national football team

Hungary
3 - 1
Montenegro

Szoboszlai (66', 68'), Nagy (90+3')
Szoboszlai (26'), Gazdag (35'), Dibusz (78'), Nagy (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rubezic (36')
Camaj (13'), Savic (18'), Rubezic (34'), Vesovic (47'), Vujacic (70'), Raickovic (88'), Kuc (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Hungary and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Bulgaria 2-2 Hungary
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Montenegro

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Montenegro 2-0 Lithuania
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Hungary 1-1 Montenegro

 Perhaps taking their foot off the gas, Hungary may be restricted to a home draw in their final group fixture, having already sealed their spot at another Euros. By contrast, Montenegro must go all-out to take three points and hope that will prove enough for qualification; however, the plucky outsiders are set to come up short. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.

Result
HungaryDrawMontenegro
45.71% (0.061 0.06) 27.08% (-0.041 -0.04) 27.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.55% (0.103 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.81% (0.13800000000001 0.14)57.19% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96% (0.11 0.11)78.04% (-0.107 -0.11)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.093000000000004 0.09)24.97% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (0.127 0.13)59.62% (-0.123 -0.12)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37% (0.061 0.06)36.63% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58% (0.061 0.06)73.42% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Hungary 45.7%
    Montenegro 27.21%
    Draw 27.08%
HungaryDrawMontenegro
1-0 @ 12.69% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.8%
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 45.7%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.15% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 27.21%

How you voted: Hungary vs Montenegro

Hungary
66.2%
Draw
15.6%
Montenegro
18.2%
77
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Montenegro
0-0
Hungary
Vesovic (15'), Vujacic (34'), Raickovic (63'), Savic (90+4')
Sallai (50'), Csoboth (70')
> Preview
Sep 5, 2019 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Montenegro
2-1
Hungary
Kosovic (32'), Mugosa (75' pen.)
Holender (2')
Holman (60'), Lang (75')
rhs 2.0
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