Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Thorsvollur
Mohr Jonsson (85'),
Faero (90+4')
Askam (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
We said: Faroe Islands 0-2 Poland
Although Poland are yet to pick up a point away from home in Group E, they have far more quality than the Faroe Islands, which was on display in the reverse fixture.
As such, we expect the visitors to emerge as comfortable winners, boosting their chances of qualifying for Euro 2024 in the process.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 65.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 13.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.83%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Poland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Poland.
| Result |
| Faroe Islands | Draw | Poland |
13.51% ( 0) | 20.82% ( 0.02) | 65.67% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.04% ( -0.03) |
| 50.4% ( -0.05) | 49.6% ( 0.05) |
| 28.38% ( -0.04) | 71.62% ( 0.05) |
| 52.55% ( -0.02) | 47.44% ( 0.03) |
